Cells can also repair the lesions thus caused, although imperfectly or incorrectly. Of the damage that persists, that to the DNA is of a particular type, because residual genetic anomalies can be transmitted by successive cellular division to new cells. A genetic mutation is still far removed from transformation into a cancerous cell, but the lesion due to ionising radiation may be a first step towards cancerisation.

The suspicion of a causal link between the occurrence of cancer and exposure to ionising radiation dates from the beginning of the 20th century (observation of skin cancer on radiodermatitis). Since then, several types of cancers have been observed in a professional environment, including leukaemia, primitive bronchopulmonary cancers through inhalation of radon and bone sarcomas. Outside the professional sphere, monitoring of a group of about 85,000 people irradiated in Hiroshima and Nagasaki provided detailed data on induction and mortality from cancer after exposure to ionising radiation. Other epidemiological work, in particular in radiotherapy, highlighted a statistically significant rise in secondary cancers among patients treated using radiotherapy and attributable to ionising radiation. We should also mention the Chernobyl accident which, as a result of the radioactive iodines released, caused a peak in the incidence of thyroid cancers in children in the areas near the accident.

The occurrence of carcinogenic effects is not linked to a dose threshold and only a probability of occurrence can be stated for any given individual. This is the case with occurrence of radiation-induced cancers. We then talk of probabilistic, stochastic or random effects.

The internationally established health goals of radiation protection aim to avoid the appearance of deterministic effects, but also to reduce the probability of radiation-induced cancers appearing.

  1.2 Evaluation of risks linked to ionising radiation

Cancer monitoring in France is based on departmental registers: 10 general registers and 9 specialised registers cover about 15% of the general mainland population and there are also 2 national child cancer registers (hematological malignancy and solid tumours in children), with the aim - as with any monitoring system - of identifying trends in terms of an increase or reduction in the incidence of this disease over a period of time, or of locating clusters of cases in a given region. This intentionally descriptive monitoring method cannot identify radiation-induced cancers, as their form is not specific to ionising radiation.

Epidemiological investigation supplements monitoring. The purpose of epidemiological surveys is to highlight an association between a risk factor and the occurrence of a disease, between a possible cause and an effect, or at least to enable such a causal relation to be posited with a very high degree of probability. However, one should not ignore the difficulty in conducting these surveys or arriving at convincing conclusions when the latency of the disease is long or when the number of expected cases is small, which are both characteristics of exposure to ionising radiation of less than 100 mSv. The epidemiological surveys were thus only able to link pathologies to ionising radiation for relatively high radiation doses at high dose rates (for example: monitoring of the populations exposed to the Hiroshima and Nagasaki bombings).